Alex G
10:01 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
The bookies have analysts looking out for trends in betting (at least trends that lose them money). When they identify patterns that are significantly hurting them they act to close them down. The house always wins, and if it does get beaten it works out why and starts winning again.
|
Too Much Too Young
9:10 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
I've got a PDF somewhere that explains a system.
Its a long boring process that includes having to buy the racing and football outlook paper. then various calculations involving form and league position etc..takes about an hour to work out.
You basically need to find 2 banker home wins at certain odds, permed with any draw. This means having to fill out a big form in the bookies.
over a certain amount, the more draws, the more you win.
can't remember how many perms there are.
someone here will have the PDF as well i reckon.
|
Side of Ham
8:48 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Northern Sold 7:13 Wed Feb 24
Like all addictions there were pill poppers and then there were people who thought they were smarties.......luckily I always had a sort of method if I was doing any madness if that makes sense.
|
wanstead_hammer
8:31 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Yeh, ave always ad a small flutter on the GG’s and the football on Skybet. (Small stakes).
Some of the football request-a bets offer unbelievable odds. Worth doing some of em for a couple of bob on each. Just a small interest. Had quite a few come up.
Oh and btw you never see a skinny bookie!
|
GreenStreetPlayer
8:16 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Ha, on the subject done a 50p EW patent on the horses today.
With Corals best odds guaranteed had a winner at 25/1 and third at 66/1 1/5 odds EW with overall return of £65.70 for £7 layout.
|
PwoperNaughtyButNot
8:11 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
If you’d have followed the Barca game you would have your stake out of the bet and switched to the over 2.5h goals for a fiver profit.
Free bet
|
Hermit Road
7:46 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Don’t be frightened to cash out.
I often look at games that are 0-0 at half time and take over 2.5 or 3.5 goals depending on the odds then set up an automatic cash out on betfair or if I’m watching it I might take my stake out if there is an early goal in the second half.
|
PwoperNaughtyButNot
7:38 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Find any game with over/under 2.5 goals at 2.5 + on betfair
Back it for £20
As soon as the game kicks off lay off £2 every minute to 10 mins.
Watch the rest of the game knowing are in profit whatever happens.
Pray there are no early goals and if there are then let it ride and keep your fingers crossed
Barca vs elce is a good one at 3.5 for under 2.5 goals - starts in 20mins so you can try it out.
|
WHU(Exeter)
7:20 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Think Sold has it right though, you're better off trying to find something with the horses.
|
Northern Sold
7:13 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Oh don't get me wrong Sidey I know a few including a good MATE of mine who have done their clogs... my MATE on his wedding day informed his missus that he had done a crooked re-mortgage to the choon of £100k to pay off his gambling debts ... I think she finally booted him out when it got to a quarter of a mill that was owed ... he lost the lot ... but the vast vast majority I know it's is a bit of fun and has not fucked up their life... too be honest if it had not been the bookies it would have been something else...
|
Side of Ham
7:07 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Most my MATES are like that Sold, and I can see the attraction as it adds a bit of niggle into a sporting event etc. My one and only ever West Ham gamble (online) was a free £10 bet (for joining) was against Spurs when Lanzini made them come third in that two horse race. I only did it because my MATES were livid that day at the cheeky odds being given for a home win as Spurs were a 'top team' that season. Other than that I've been to loads of racecourse & dog track and rarely had a bet instead only joining a pot to do things like bet on all of Frankie Dettori's races as a win for him when we was at Cheltenham.
I can actually say i'm well up on the bookies but not in a fair way gambling wise......
|
Mike Oxsaw
7:02 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Some while back there was a betting thread and one of the "options" seemed to be something like "pick 4 games then do an accumulator(?) to cover all the outcomes of those games", one game "missing" from each of the bets. Does that make any sense to anybody?
|
Northern Sold
6:57 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Set myself a limit of £15.00 a day... which is normally just a saturday ITV racing day... maybe a bit more at meetings (Royal Ascot/Cheltenham/Breeders Cup etc)... so even I went on a losing spree of never winning arace for 25 years... it's not going to make a difference... at the end of the day it's a bit of fun and you know what... pretty enjoyable getting one over the bookies... each to their own but as long as you can keep a lid on it and don't be a cunt (can see why you don't get involved COYI's) then it's a staple diet of sport and always will be...
|
Come On You Irons
6:40 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Credit for your honesty JonWHUFC. So many 'heroes' brag about their apparent winning runs while gambling (see Northern Sold's post in this thread), but very few people open up about how much they lose gambling as they are too ashamed to admit that they have spunked their hard earn cash.
I have never got the appeal of gambling and never will. Thankfully it is one vice that I have never had problems with.
|
WHU(Exeter)
6:31 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
I read in the racing and football Outlook paper years back that the odds on home teams in the Scottish League (bar the Premiership) are significantly more reliable than any of the other domestic leagues - they provided the stats for the last 10 years.
I always include one or two of them in any acca I do and most weeks it's not those matches that blow the acca....
|
Grumpster
6:19 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Just enjoy it with small stakes, as its certainly the sport where shocks happen more than on anything else.
I just like a first goalscorer bet myself and generally do this on the Austrian, belgium, dutch, bundesliga, Chinese 2 or ligue 2, as none of them are as competitive as English football and the same fuckers score first a lot as there aren't as many good players, especially in China where they only ever bring in attacking players as their overseas signings.
First scorer bets were why I knew we'd signed a belter in payet as I'd been backing and watching him for years.
Bit of small stakes fun though and enjoy the winners, as you don't see a poor bookie.
|
Eastside surge
5:03 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Steer clear of the championship aswell its a bloody minefield for football punters
|
Eastside surge
5:02 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Hull let me down last night for a five fold acca for £150
Its the second time in a month they've done it to me............
I fucking hate Hull!
|
El Scorchio
4:47 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
Cheers bill- so I heard wrong then!
I had imagined they wouldn't leave such a potentially big loophole open that avid fans of the J league or kabaddi could easily exploit :)
|
bill green
4:38 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
El Scorchio 4:26 Wed Feb 24
bookies employ professional odds layers who are expert in whatever sport/region
they are paid by commission on losing bets so if they aren't any good they'd soon be out
|
El Scorchio
4:26 Wed Feb 24
Re: Football Betting Strategies
|
It's surely very difficult to win big on football (specifically PL) over here, due to the amount of interest in betting on it so the bookies will always make sure to cover themselves. (Same with horses?)
I had heard that if you have the patience to develop an interest/knowledge in something rather more obscure, (baseball or Aussie rules or something) there's more chance of finding better odds and little advantages because the bookies aren't quite so razor sharp? Or is that all bollocks?
|
| 
